Integer programming

Optimal forecast reconciliation with time series selection

Forecast reconciliation ensures forecasts of time series in a hierarchy adhere to aggregation constraints, enabling aligned decision making. While forecast reconciliation can enhance overall accuracy in hierarchical or grouped structures, the most …

Sparse Multiple Index Models for High-dimensional Nonparametric Forecasting

Forecasting often involves high-dimensional predictors which have nonlinear relationships with the outcome of interest. Nonparametric additive index models can capture these relationships, while addressing the curse of dimensionality. This paper …