Forecast combinations

Finding Wisdom in the Crowd: Adaptive Accuracy-Diversity Trimming for Forecast Combinations

Forecast combinations support production and inventory decisions, but including every candidate can dilute crowd wisdom through inaccurate or redundant information. Forecast trimming addresses this risk by retaining an informative subset. We develop …

Uncertainty in CORSIA: assessing impacts of BASIC’s withdrawal on carbon offsetting

By January 2026, the BASIC countries (Brazil, South Africa, India, and China) still did not commit to join the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) initiated by the International Civil Aviation Organization …

Uneven skies: long-term global inventory and equity analysis of aviation emissions

Civil aviation is now central to global climate discussions, yet cross-national disparities in emissions and carbon reduction burdens remain underexplored. This study constructs the first harmonized, multi-pollutant global aviation emissions …

Forecast combinations: an over 50-year review

Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities. Combining multiple forecasts produced for a target time series is now widely used …