Forecast combinations

Uncertainty in CORSIA: assessing impacts of BASIC’s withdrawal on carbon offsetting

By January 2026, the BASIC countries (Brazil, South Africa, India, and China) still did not commit to join the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) initiated by the International Civil Aviation Organization …

Uneven skies: long-term global inventory and equity analysis of aviation emissions

Civil aviation is now central to global climate discussions, yet cross-national disparities in emissions and carbon reduction burdens remain underexplored. This study constructs the first harmonized, multi-pollutant global aviation emissions …

Forecast combinations: an over 50-year review

Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities. Combining multiple forecasts produced for a target time series is now widely used …

Another look at forecast trimming for combinations: robustness, accuracy and diversity

Forecast combination is widely recognized as a preferred strategy over forecast selection due to its ability to mitigate the uncertainty associated with identifying a single "best" forecast. Nonetheless, sophisticated combinations are often …